Oil prices rally as IEA sees gas shortages boosting crude demand

Saket Sundria and Alex Longley October 14, 2021

(Bloomberg) --Oil in New York surged past $81 a barrel after the International Energy Agency became the latest to say natural gas shortages are boosting demand for crude.

WTI crude futures rose 1.5% to near the highest level since 2014. Record gas prices could add about 500,000 barrels a day of oil use over the next six months, the IEA said. Banks including UBS Group AG and Citigroup Inc. this week raised their oil price forecasts because of the gas-to-oil switch.  

Saudi Arabia’s Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman reiterated the need for OPEC and its allies to take a gradual, phased approach to supply hikes. He said the oil market will be balanced by the end of the year, but reiterated the group will face a challenging 2022.

Crude’s rally in recent months has been underscored by wider gains in energy prices. The IEA’s head of oil markets, Toril Bosoni, said the oil market is likely to remain firm for months, while Bank of America Corp. is talking up the potential of $100 a barrel.

“Risks for the oil market are clearly skewed to the upside in the coming weeks,” said Warren Patterson, head of commodities strategy at ING Groep NV. “The global balance continues to tighten, while the potential for further gas-to-oil switching suggests an even tighter market.”


  • WTI for November delivery added $1.19 to $81.63 a barrel at 9:02 a.m. in New York
  • Brent for December gained 1.6% to $84.47

Meanwhile, the American Petroleum Institute reported a mixed set of inventory figures. Nationwide crude stockpiles grew, but those at the key hub of Cushing, Oklahoma, fell sharply, as did gasoline and distillate supplies, according to people familiar with the data. Government numbers are due later Thursday.

Connect with World Oil
Connect with World Oil, the upstream industry's most trusted source of forecast data, industry trends, and insights into operational and technological advances.