Saudi Arabia oil tanker tracking shows another slide in exports

Brian Wingfield and Julian Lee March 01, 2017

LONDON (Bloomberg) -- Saudi Arabia’s shipments of crude oil fell last month, indicating OPEC’s biggest producer is continuing to cut supplies by more than it originally pledged.

The world’s largest crude exporter shipped 7.04 MMbpd in February, a drop of 126,000 bpd from January, vessel-tracking data compiled by Bloomberg show. Measured against the country’s own figures, outflows are down by about 1 MMbpd since December.

Saudi Arabia is at the forefront of an agreement by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries to curb output for at least six months to reduce a worldwide surplus that depressed oil prices since mid-2014. Production figures from January showed that OPEC members were at about 90% in adhering to the deal. However, 11 non-OPEC nations that had joined the effort lagged, with a compliance rate of about 50%.

Higher prices caused by lower output may increase pressure on the group to maintain discipline. Saudi Arabia agreed to cut output by 486,000 bpd below October levels, the baseline month for measuring supply curbs, a target that it exceeded in January.

While Saudi Arabia has the ability to store crude -- meaning that its exports aren’t perfectly correlated with production -- a month-on-month decline in exports would support the country’s assertion it’s cutting back. Exports fell from about 7.16 MMbpd in January, according to Bloomberg calculations based on industry standard cargo sizes.

Japan, China, South Korea, the U.S. and India were the biggest destinations, accounting for almost 70% of all cargoes. Vessels were tracked as they loaded and departed from the Saudi Arabian ports of Ras Tanura, Ju’aymah in the Persian Gulf and Yanbu on the Red Sea.

Saudi Arabia exported about 7.64 MMbpd in October, according to figures from the Joint Organizations Data Initiative. Riyadh-based JODI collates data, including production and exports directly from countries. Shipments exceeded 8 MMbpd in both November and December. The deal to cut supply took effect at the beginning of the year.

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