Venezuela's oil output crash is costly for U.S. refiners

By Milana Vinn and Lucia Kassai on 2/13/2018

NEW YORK and HOUSTON (Bloomberg) -- U.S. Gulf Coast refiners are paying the price for shrinking Venezuelan crude output.

U.S. production is at an all-time high, while output from the Latin American nation, despite a modest increase in January, is in decline. As a result, U.S. crude’s typical premium to heavy Venezuelan oil shrank to as small as 31 cents a barrel Friday, the narrowest since October.

Most U.S. Gulf Coast refiners profit when crude grades like those from Venezuela are at a large discount to WTI because these so-called heavy crudes comprise 40% to 60% of the oil they process, said Fernando Valle, oil and refining analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence.

“The narrowing can be attributed to a rapidly changing fundamental picture in both markets,”  Mara Roberts Duque, a New York-based analyst at BMI Research, said by email. “Rising U.S. production is keeping a lid on the WTI upside while continued declines in Venezuelan output are supporting the local benchmark.”

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