Gasoline surges, oil declines as Harvey shutters refineries

Anthony DiPaola and Jessica Summers 8/28/2017

NEW YORK (Bloomberg) -- Gasoline surged to the highest in two years and oil declined as flooding from Tropical Storm Harvey inundated refining centers along the Texas coast, shutting more than 10% of U.S. fuel-making capacity.

Motor fuel prices rose as much as 6.8%, while New York oil futures slipped 0.9%. Harvey, the strongest storm to hit the U.S. since 2004, made landfall as a hurricane Friday, flooding cities and shutting plants able to process some 2.26 MMbpd.  Pipelines were closed, potentially stranding crude in West Texas and interrupting gasoline supply.

“Crude oil has taken it quite badly because of all of the refining capacity that has been shut in,” Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank A/S, said by phone from Copenhagen. “That’s only somewhat offset by the slowdown in production.”

While gasoline spiked on the storm, demand for the motor fuel is set to decline over the next several weeks as the U.S. summer driving season wanes and refineries begin seasonal maintenance, Hansen said.

Oil has traded this month in the tightest range since February as investors weigh rising global supply against output cuts by members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies. As Harvey led to widespread flooding, Royal Dutch Shell Plc shut its Deer Park plant, while Magellan Midstream Partners LP suspended its inbound and outbound refined products and crude pipeline transportation services in the Houston area.

Gasoline for September delivery climbed as much as 11.33 cents to $1.7799/gal on the New York Mercantile Exchange, the highest intraday price for a front-month contract since July 2015. It traded at $1.7529 at 12:07 p.m. in London. West Texas Intermediate oil for October delivery fell 40 cents to $47.47/bbl after advancing 0.9% on Friday.

Brent crude’s premium to WTI widened to the largest in two years with the global benchmark trading at as much as $5.20 above the U.S. marker. Brent for October settlement rose 23 cents to $52.64/bbl on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange.

“We’ll see higher pump prices, but I think the crude oil price is likely to remain more steady,” Mark Pervan, a Sydney-based chief economist for AME Group, said in a Bloomberg television interview. “We’re certainly looking at a slightly different market dynamic than we did last time we had a big weather event like this. The U.S. oil production landscape has moved more onshore essentially, away from the Gulf of Mexico.”

An estimated 300,000 to 500,000 bpd of Eagle Ford oil output has been shut, according to the Texas Railroad Commission. About 22 percent, or 378,600 bpd of Gulf of Mexico oil production is offline, according to the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement. Magellan also said the Longhorn and BridgeTex crude pipelines are shut.


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