Kuwait sees OPEC leaning on non-members to cut more oil output

Wael Mahdi and Anthony DiPaola February 13, 2017

KUWAIT (Bloomberg) -- OPEC is urging oil suppliers outside the group to fulfill their commitments to cut output, and crude prices will rise once producers demonstrate better compliance with their agreement to clear a global glut, Kuwait’s oil minister said.

The OPEC countries, which agreed to the cuts with 11 other oil-producing nations in December, is 92% compliant with its pledge to reduce output by 1.2 MMbpd, Oil Minister Essam Al-Marzooq told reporters Monday in Kuwait City. Non-OPEC producers are complying at a lower rate of more than 50%, he said.

“At the time when producers signed the deal, the initial commitments were to gradually increase cuts until April and May, so we were expecting to see some producers not fulfilling the 100% cuts,” Al-Marzooq said. “We understand the circumstances, and in February we are talking to non-OPEC producers to raise their cuts according to their commitments.”

OPEC, faced with lower crude prices, agreed in November to reverse its strategy of pumping without limits to defend its share of the market against increased supplies, including oil from U.S. shale deposits. The group secured commitments from other producing states to pare their output by 558,000 bpd starting in January. Benchmark Brent crude, which traded at more than $115/bbl in June 2014, has stemmed losses since the deal took effect and was trading $0.26 lower at $56.44.

Field maintenance

“Prices are good now and we expect them to increase with the rise in the compliance rate,” Al-Marzooq said. The United Arab Emirates, also a member of OPEC, will meet its pledged level of cuts as an average over six months, the country’s energy minister, Suhail Al Mazrouei, said in Dubai. The UAE expects to make deeper reductions when oilfield maintenance work starts in Abu Dhabi in late March or April, he said, without quantifying the nation’s current compliance with its pledged cuts.

The IEA reported on Feb. 10 that OPEC achieved the best compliance rate in its history at the outset of the accord. OPEC fulfilled 90% of promised output cuts in January, as key member Saudi Arabia pared production by even more than it had committed, the Paris-based agency said.

Russia and the other non-OPEC participants in the agreement cut 269,000 bpd of their pledged reduction of 558,000 bbl,  preliminary data from the IEA showed. This equates to a compliance rate for non-OPEC producers of about 48%, according to Bloomberg calculations.

Kuwait wants producers to comply 100% with their commitments, Kuwait’s Al-Marzooq said. The output deal expires in June, though OPEC members have said they will consider extending the cuts if necessary.

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