What's new in exploration ///

Twice before in this column, I have promoted the idea that a 1-800 (toll free) number might prove to be correlative with earthquake prediction. The cost would be small, and if put in a telephone-rich, earthquake-prone region such as California, it wouldn't be too many years before you could judge the experiment a success or not. It might save many lives. If a correlation was found between the number of calls in an area (down to the prefix-number level), and the occurrence of a quake, at a later date we could focus on why such a correlation exists. It is not good science to demand to know “why“ before you determine “whether.“ The usual suspects include: strange behavior in animals; well flows and artesian spring flows; creepy feelings and “space aliens told me so.“ Earthquakes have been successfully predicted in China, mostly on the behavior of wells and springs, saving thousands of lives.

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